GTD Sports Staff Super Bowl 55 Best Bets
(Chris Graythen/Getty Images) via nytimes
It’s finally that time of year ladies and gentlemen. The greatest spectacle American sports has to offer takes place this Sunday, and the Super Bowl 55 betting opportunities are off the chart. Whether you fancy betting on the gatorade shower color, the coin toss, or even the length of the national anthem; sportsbooks are offering it all.
The narrative for this game was written in the stars: Brady vs Mahomes, GOAT vs Baby GOAT. If the Buccaneers come out on top, Brady will solidify his position in the greatest of all time debates as well as silence the “system QB” chirpers by winning a seventh ring. Mahomes on the other hand has already been talked about as a future hall of famer amongst other potential accolades, and a win on Sunday would give him his second ring in three years as a starter with the Chiefs.
The Super Bowl is not only the most watched live television event of the year every single year, it also happens to be the sporting event with the highest number of bets placed in American sportsbooks. Here at GTD Sports we have collaborated to bring you some of our staff’s best bets for the big game. Let’s get right into it:
Leonard Fournette over 48 rushing yards (-110)
Ryan Bunnell: This is my absolute favorite bet on the board for the big game. Leonard Fournette has been coined with the nickname “Playoff Lenny” for a reason, he has been producing at a much higher rate than his regular season averages resulting in serious value on this line. In the Buccaneer’s three playoff games, Fournette has over half the amount of yards from scrimmage(313) as he did the entire regular season(600). He is averaging 70.3 rushing yards per game in the postseason, matching up against a Kansas City defense ranked 21st in the league for rushing yards allowed per game.
On top of the quantitative date, the weather is also forecasting a chance of rain or even thunderstorms closer to kickoff time. If the weather is truly miserable, the chances are Fournette will get a ton of carries especially considering his backfield partner in crime Ronald Jones III hasn’t been producing on nearly the same level.
I know all the hype is going to be on the quarterbacks, as it should, but don’t let this line get away from you. Back Playoff Lenny to show out yet again.
Coin toss result: Tails (-110)
Ryan Bunnell: Unlike my previous pick, this one has absolutely no logical reasoning behind the bet besides the fact that I like the saying “tails never fails.” Sure, this may seem like a straight 50/50 bet, but there have been some significant trends throughout Super Bowl history on the coin toss. Tails has cashed in six of the last seven super bowls, and that’s a trend I have faith in to continue.
Weird stat: All six of Tom Brady’s Super Bowl wins came after losing the coin toss to a coin landing tails side up. Considering I am also rolling with the Bucs to come out on top this weekend, this fits perfectly. If you want a fun and exciting way to make a quick buck before the game even kicks off, I highly recommend the coin toss prop bet. With that being said, I advise you to bet responsibly and not blow 10 units on a coin flip for christ’s sake.
Will opening kickoff be a touchback: (Yes -220)
Cole Marchi: This is one of those bets that’s a toss-up, but it’s a great bet nevertheless. I think that whoever wins the coin toss will determine what happens. The Bucs don’t want Mecole Hardmon returning the kickoff and Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker has a nuke of a leg, so he’ll definitely kick it past the endzone. I love these 50/50 bets because they’re so stupid, but it’s also thrilling. I can’t imagine the opening kickoff being caught and run back, especially if the Bucs kick it. The odds may be a little steep, but I’m laying the juice on -220.
Longest made field goal over/under 46.5 yards: Over (-110)
Cole Marchi: I’m not sure how many people expect field goals to be kicked in this game and believe me I don’t think they will be a major factor with one exception. I do think the game will be won by a field goal and because I have the Chiefs winning by three, that means Butker will kick one, and all season long he’s been kicking bombs. He only missed two field goals all season, so I expect him to have ice in his veins and clutch up with a long field goal to win the game.
Chiefs vs Buccaneers - First score to be a touchdown? (-190 for Yes)
Collin Gray: This bet a solid winner. I’m not doubting this at all. These teams epitomize scoring touchdowns. If either team settles for a field goal on the first drive of the Super Bowl, I’m throwing my drink at the TV.
Tom Brady has had the best age 43 season ever recorded in NFL history. Brady has thrown 40 touchdowns this year, that’s the second most of his career. The other time was in 2007 when he threw 50 and the Pats nearly pulled off a perfect season. Brady has Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Scotty Miller. TB looks nearly identical to TD, so it must be a sign.
Do I even need to talk about the Chiefs weapons? Hill, Kelce, Edwards-Helaire, Hardman -- Oh my! Mahomes was good enough to put up 50 touchdowns a couple of seasons ago. In case you're wondering, what was the first score of last year's Super Bowl? A Mahomes rushing touchdown…. I rest my case.
This game is between the two coaches who love to risk it for the biscuit. Ballsy Andy Reid went for it on 4th and inches against the Cleveland Browns with his backup QB under center, so I don’t think Andy or Bruce will settle for field goals.
Will there be a missed PAT? Yes +190
Elijah Spann: This is easily my favorite prop bet of the Super Bowl this year. It’s got everything you need for a good prop bet, good odds, plenty of chances for it to hit, and it can get you locked in to the one of the most boring parts of a game.
Harrison Butker has been atrocious on extra points this year with seven missed PATs, and is the reason why I made this bet. But to make it even better Ryan Succop isn’t exactly automatic either with six PATs missed (both including playoffs). This is definitely worth half a unit or a full unit, but for me I’m putting to units on this.
Mike Evans and Travis Kelce both ATTS (any time touchdown scorer): +150
Elijah Spann: Duh. I mean c’mon, I know it's not a guarantee for a player to score a touchdown in football, but these are arguably the two best red zone targets in football. The two have scored a whopping collective 29 TDs this season including playoffs. Kelce has also scored a TD in every single playoff game this season, and Evans has scored in each of the past two.
For ATTS bets this is as close as you can get to free money. These two guys are matchup nightmares and either of these defenses aren’t going to change that. Tail or fade, best of luck.